🥊 UFC
Sat, May 9, 10:00 PM ET
Jan Blachowicz
Away
@
Bogdan Guskov
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
N/A
ML
-145
AI Pick
Edge: value
69%
MONEYLINE
Jan Blachowicz
Confidence69%
Bogdan Guskov 61%Jan Blachowicz 44%
AI Analysis
1

Market pricing Jan Blachowicz at 44% implied probability, but the best available line at +136 (FanDuel) offers value beyond what the consensus supports.

2

Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — a 61/44 split means the market sees a competitive fight where the underdog has real paths to victory. The +136 best available on Jan Blachowicz is relatively tight for a dog in this sport.

3

Market overround at 4.6% is in the normal range with 3 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 69% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.

Matchup Overview
BLACHOWICZ
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
3
GUSKOV
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
SportsbookBLACHOWICZGUSKOV
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
3
Overround
4.6%
Best Bogdan Guskov
-145 (BetOnline.ag)
Best Jan Blachowicz
+136 (FanDuel)
Line Shopping Range
Guskov: -174 to -145
Blachowicz: +124 to +136
Place Your Bet

21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.

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