🥊 UFC
Sat, Aug 1, 11:10 PM ET
Arman Tsarukyan
Away
@
Ilia Topuria
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
N/A
ML
-190
AI Pick
Edge: chalk
69%
MONEYLINE
Ilia Topuria
Confidence69%
Ilia Topuria 66%Arman Tsarukyan 38%
AI Analysis
1

Ilia Topuria commands 66% implied win probability with 1-book consensus — this is a market-confirmed lean with minimal disagreement across sportsbooks.

2

Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — a 66/38 split means the market sees a competitive fight where the underdog has real paths to victory. The +165 best available on Arman Tsarukyan is relatively tight for a dog in this sport.

3

Overround at just 3.3% signals an unusually efficient market — edges here are small but more likely to be real. This is a low-vig environment where the math is reliable.

Matchup Overview
TSARUKYAN
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
1
TOPURIA
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
SportsbookTSARUKYANTOPURIA
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
1
Overround
3.3%
Best Ilia Topuria
-190 (BetOnline.ag)
Best Arman Tsarukyan
+165 (BetOnline.ag)
Line Shopping Range
Tsarukyan: +165 to +165
Topuria: -190 to -190
Place Your Bet

21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.

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