🥊 UFC
Sat, May 16, 8:00 PM ETGina Carano
Away
@
Ronda Rousey
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
N/A
ML
-500
AI Pick
Edge: chalk
73%
MONEYLINE
Ronda Rousey
Confidence73%
Ronda Rousey 83%Gina Carano 21%
AI Analysis
1
Ronda Rousey commands 83% implied win probability with 1-book consensus — this is a market-confirmed lean with minimal disagreement across sportsbooks.
2
Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — at 83% the market sees a significant skill gap, but upsets at this price range happen 20-30% of the time. The +375 best available on Gina Carano offers strong plus-money if they can execute their game plan.
3
Market overround at 4.4% is in the normal range with 1 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 73% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.
Matchup Overview
CARANO
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
1
ROUSEY
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | CARANO | ROUSEY |
|---|
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
1
Overround
4.4%
Best Ronda Rousey
-500 (BetOnline.ag)
Best Gina Carano
+375 (BetOnline.ag)
Line Shopping Range
Carano: +375 to +375
Rousey: -500 to -500
Place Your Bet
21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
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