Total set at 2.5 with Over priced at -230 (70%) and Under at +192 (34%) — the skew on this line offers a mathematical angle.

Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — at 81% the market sees a significant skill gap, but upsets at this price range happen 20-30% of the time. The +350 best available on Bryan Battle offers strong plus-money if they can execute their game plan.

Line shopping is critical here — 50-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 15.0% to expected ROI. Best available at BetMGM vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.