🥊 UFC
Sat, Apr 4, 6:00 PM ETTabatha Ricci
Away
@
Virna Jandiroba
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
N/A
ML
+115
AI Pick
Edge: lean
68%
MONEYLINE
Tabatha Ricci
Confidence68%
Tabatha Ricci 57%Virna Jandiroba 48%
AI Analysis
1
Marginal lean based on 57/48 implied probability split across 2 books. The edge is thin but the math tilts slightly in this direction.
2
Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — a 57/48 split means the market sees a competitive fight where the underdog has real paths to victory. The +115 best available on Virna Jandiroba is relatively tight for a dog in this sport.
3
Market overround at 5.0% is in the normal range with 2 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 68% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.
Matchup Overview
RICCI
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
2
JANDIROBA
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | RICCI | JANDIROBA |
|---|
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
2
Overround
5.0%
Best Tabatha Ricci
-128 (FanDuel)
Best Virna Jandiroba
+115 (BetOnline.ag)
Line Shopping Range
Ricci: -135 to -128
Jandiroba: +100 to +115
Place Your Bet
21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
Share This Pick
More UFC Picks