🥊 UFC
Sat, Mar 28, 8:50 PM ETRobert Watley
Away
@
Dakota Bush
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
2.5
ML
+195
AI Pick
Edge: chalk
74%
MONEYLINE
Robert Watley
Confidence74%
Robert Watley 70%Dakota Bush 34%
AI Analysis
1
Robert Watley commands 70% implied win probability with 3-book consensus — this is a market-confirmed lean with minimal disagreement across sportsbooks.
2
Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — a 70/34 split means the market sees a competitive fight where the underdog has real paths to victory. The +198 best available on Dakota Bush is relatively tight for a dog in this sport.
3
Market overround at 4.2% is in the normal range with 3 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 74% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.
Matchup Overview
WATLEY
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
3
BUSH
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | WATLEY | BUSH |
|---|
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
3
Overround
4.2%
Best Robert Watley
-230 (BetOnline.ag)
Best Dakota Bush
+198 (FanDuel)
Line Shopping Range
Bush: +195 to +198
Watley: -250 to -230
Place Your Bet
21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
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