🥊 UFC
Sat, Apr 4, 6:00 PM ET
Darrius Flowers
Away
@
Landon Vannata
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
N/A
ML
-220
AI Pick
Edge: chalk
75%
MONEYLINE
Landon Vannata
Confidence75%
Landon Vannata 70%Darrius Flowers 35%
AI Analysis
1

Landon Vannata commands 70% implied win probability with 2-book consensus — this is a market-confirmed lean with minimal disagreement across sportsbooks.

2

Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — a 70/35 split means the market sees a competitive fight where the underdog has real paths to victory. The +186 best available on Darrius Flowers is relatively tight for a dog in this sport.

3

Market overround at 4.9% is in the normal range with 2 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 75% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.

Matchup Overview
FLOWERS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
2
VANNATA
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
SportsbookFLOWERSVANNATA
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
2
Overround
4.9%
Best Landon Vannata
-220 (BetOnline.ag)
Best Darrius Flowers
+186 (FanDuel)
Line Shopping Range
Flowers: +185 to +186
Vannata: -245 to -220
Place Your Bet

21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.

Share This Pick
More UFC Picks
UFC
Brendson Ribeiro @ Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev
MONEYLINE
Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev
UFC
Tyrell Fortune @ Marcin Tybura
SPREAD
Tyrell Fortune -3.5
UFC
Adrian Yanez @ Ricky Simon
MONEYLINE
Adrian Yanez