Market pricing Iowa State Cyclones at 39% implied probability, but the best available line at +155 (FanDuel) offers value beyond what the consensus supports.

Home court advantage factors into the line, and the 4.5-point spread indicates a competitive matchup.

Market overround at 4.5% is in the normal range with 1 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 65% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.