⚾ MLB
Fri, Mar 27, 7:10 PM ETColorado Rockies
Away
@
Miami Marlins
Home
Spread
+1.5
Total
7.5
ML
-196
AI Pick
Edge: value
69%
MONEYLINE
Colorado Rockies
Confidence69%
Miami Marlins 66%Colorado Rockies 38%
AI Analysis
1
Market pricing Colorado Rockies at 38% implied probability, but the best available line at +169 (LowVig.ag) offers value beyond what the consensus supports.
2
Baseball is a moneyline-driven sport where even heavy favorites only win ~60-65% of the time. A 66% implied probability pushes the edge of MLB value — the juice gets steep fast. Line shopping yields a +169 vs +155 range on the dog.
3
Market overround at 4.0% is in the normal range with 11 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 69% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.
Matchup Overview
ROCKIES
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
11
MARLINS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | ROCKIES | MARLINS |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | +1.5 -138 | -1.5 +115 |
| BetMGM | +1.5 -145 | -1.5 +120 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -130 | -1.5 +110 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -136 | -1.5 +113 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -157 | -1.5 +125 |
| MyBookie.ag | +1.5 -133 | -1.5 +109 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -130 | -1.5 +110 |
| LowVig.ag | +1.5 -128 | -1.5 +113 |
| BetOnline.ag | +1.5 -130 | -1.5 +110 |
| BetUS | +1.5 -130 | -1.5 +110 |
| Bovada | +1.5 -140 | -1.5 +120 |
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
11
Overround
4.0%
Best Miami Marlins
-187 (LowVig.ag)
Best Colorado Rockies
+169 (LowVig.ag)
Line Shopping Range
Rockies: +155 to +169
Marlins: -199 to -187
Place Your Bet
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