Ellie Scotney commands 94% implied win probability with 2-book consensus — this is a market-confirmed lean with minimal disagreement across sportsbooks.

Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — at 94% the market sees a significant skill gap, but upsets at this price range happen 20-30% of the time. The +800 best available on Mayeli Flores offers strong plus-money if they can execute their game plan.

Market overround at 5.5% is in the normal range with 2 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 66% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.