Total set at 8.5 with Over priced at +105 (49%) and Under at -135 (57%) — the skew on this line offers a mathematical angle.

Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — at 76% the market sees a significant skill gap, but upsets at this price range happen 20-30% of the time. The +260 best available on Brad Pauls offers strong plus-money if they can execute their game plan.

Line shopping is critical here — 51-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 15.3% to expected ROI. Best available at DraftKings vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.