Total set at 10.5 with Over priced at -227 (69%) and Under at +187 (35%) — the skew on this line offers a mathematical angle.

Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — at 94% the market sees a significant skill gap, but upsets at this price range happen 20-30% of the time. The +1100 best available on Francesco Grandelli offers strong plus-money if they can execute their game plan.

Line shopping is critical here — 500-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 150.0% to expected ROI. Best available at LowVig.ag vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.